Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Where to Watch

Showdown: Jasmine Paolini vs. Coco Gauff – Quarterfinal Battle Set for Tonight

Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
Time: 8:30 PM Eastern
Venue: Lindner Family Tennis Center, Mason, Ohio
TV/Streaming: Tennis Channel and Tennis Channel App

Two Stars. One Spot in the Semis.

The Cincinnati Open quarterfinals close with a blockbuster clash tonight. World No. 2 Coco Gauff faces off against No. 9 Jasmine Paolini in a matchup that’s equal parts grit, talent, and revenge.

These two are tied at 2–2 in their head-to-head record. But the surface matters — and so does recent form. Let’s break it all down.

Jasmine Paolini: Riding a Wave of Momentum

Paolini is red-hot right now. The Italian star claimed the Italian Open title in May, beating Gauff in straight sets on clay. That win, paired with another on clay in Stuttgart earlier this year, gives her the mental edge heading in.

Her Cincinnati journey has been clean and convincing:

Round 2: Defeated Maria Sakkari in a tight 7–6, 7–5 battle

Round 3: Crushed Barbora Krejcikova 6–1, 6–2

Paolini’s baseline movement has been elite. She’s defending deep rallies with poise and pushing opponents wide. Her footwork is sharp, and her returns are forcing errors. Although clay is her stronghold, she’s proving she can compete just as fiercely on hard courts.

Coco Gauff: A Home Favorite Reigniting Her Fire

Coco Gauff is no stranger to success in Cincinnati. She lifted the trophy here in 2023, dominating the draw with her explosive serve and aggressive forehand.

Now back on hard courts, Gauff looks dangerous again. Her most recent match showed why:

Round 3: Beat Lucia Bronzetti 6–2, 6–4

She landed over 70% of her first serves and converted break points at key moments. Her foot speed remains unmatched, and she’s striking with confidence from the baseline.

With the U.S. Open just two weeks away, this is where Gauff needs to peak. And she’s trending in that direction.

Head-to-Head: Gauff vs. Paolini — The Story So Far

Their rivalry is growing, and tonight adds another chapter.

Surface Winner Event

Hard Court Gauff Cincinnati 2023 SF
Hard Court Gauff 2021 Miami Open
Clay Court Paolini 2024 Rome Open
Clay Court Paolini 2024 Stuttgart Open

Gauff owns the hard court advantage (2–0)

Paolini won both clay court matchups this year

The score stands at 2–2 overall

[19:19, 15/08/2025] sameryasir: What’s at Stake?

A place in the Cincinnati semifinals.
A potential clash with Veronika Kudermetova, who advanced earlier.
And serious momentum heading into the 2025 U.S. Open in New York.

Both players are top contenders this summer. But only one can move on.

Prediction: Gauff in 3 Sets

Expect fireworks. This one should go the distance.

Paolini has confidence, rhythm, and recent wins over Gauff. She’ll challenge Coco with angles, precision, and smart defense.

But Gauff has the surface edge, the crowd, and the experience in Cincinnati. Her serve and backhand will be key weapons. If she keeps first serve percentage high and avoids rushed errors, she has the edge.

Final call: Coco Gauff in three tight sets.

 

How to Watch: Paolini vs. Gauff Live

Don’t miss a second of the action. Here’s how to tune in:

TV Broadcast: Tennis Channel

Streaming:

Live simulcast: Watch Here

Dedicated match stream: Watch Paolini–Gauff Live

Subscription Info: $9.99/month or $109.99/year for Tennis Channel Plus

 

Final Word

The Paolini vs. Gauff quarterfinal could steal the show in Cincinnati. With high stakes, big personalities, and a razor-thin matchup history, it’s must-watch tennis.

Who will punch their ticket to the semis?

Tune in at 8:30 PM Eastern to find out.
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